Malaysia: Najib will win GE14 with two-thirds majority: Mederka Centre

  • DR Mahathir Mohamad’s mission to drive Prime Minister Najib Razak out of Putrajaya in the 14th general election will fail, a nationwide survey has shown.
  • The Merdeka Centre for Opinion Research poll conducted in Dec 17 finds that although Barisan Nasional’s (BN) share of the popular vote is likely to shrink further, a combination of three-cornered fights and redelineation could enable the coalition to regain a two-thirds majority in the Dewan Rakyat.
  • Pakatan Harapan’s (PH) fractious nature could also drive the opposition’s failure, concludes the the survey, which results were presented at the CIMB Malaysia Corporate Day last week.
  • PAS may see losses in Kelantan and Selangor in return for “unspecified rewards”, the survey said. In short, BN’s projected victory will have little to do with Najib’s policies or the coalition’s appeal.
  • If Najib wins, he will owe much of his victory to PAS president Abdul Hadi Awang, whose decision to let his party stand apart from PH would have effectively split the Malay vote for the opposition to tilt the contest in Umno’s favour.
  • The study shows that the top three concerns of Malaysians are still inflation (68%), corruption (36%) and job opportunities (19%). Other concerns are housing, political instability, preservation of Malay rights, weakness of leadership, and deteriorating race relations.
  • That the prime minister’s integrity was called into question and the 1Malaysia Development Bhd financial scandal are the respondents’ least concerns, at 3% and 2%, respectively.

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